With “supply and demand imbalances related to the pandemic and the reopening of the economy” having “continued to contribute to elevated levels of inflation,” which has been rattling the market, the Federal Reserve has decided to reduce the pace of its bond-buying program and economic support for the economy even faster than previously expected.

And based on the latest dot plot of Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members’ assessments of the appropriate target for the federal funds rate, which has been held at 0 to 1/4 percent, the majority of members are now positioning for up to three quarter point hikes in 2022, followed by an additional three hikes in 2023.

FOMC members had been evenly split on whether or not rates should be raised at all next year back in September, but with expectations for a rate hike having accelerated, as we outlined at the time.

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