With the ICU availability for the greater Bay Area Region having just dropped to 3.5 percent of total capacity, the Regional Stay Home Order which went into effect at 11:59PM on December 17, 2020, and could have been lifted tomorrow, January 8, will be formally and indefinitely extended until the projected ICU availability for the region is back to at least 15 percent.
Based on current trends and resident behaviors, the Regional Stay Home Order for the Bay Area isn’t likely to be lifted for at least another month.
And the ICU availability in San Francisco, which had been hovering around 33 percent, has just dropped to 23 percent with at least 59 people in an ICU, 239 local hospital beds now occupied by COVID-19 patients, which is a new pandemic high, and an average of 264 new COVID-19 cases being diagnosed per day and climbing with a testing positivity rate which is now over 5 percent.
UPDATE (1/8): With the State’s formal announcement regarding the Bay Area extension calendared for tomorrow, the ICU availability for the greater Bay Area Region has dropped to 3.0 percent.
UPDATE (1/13): While the ICU availability for the greater Bay Area Region has ticked up to 4.7 percent, the State has formally extended the Stay Home Order for the region until the projected ICU capacity meets or exceeds 15 percent. And as we outlined above, based on current trends and resident behaviors, the Stay Home Order for the Bay Area isn’t likely to be lifted for at least another month (if not two).
The Stay Home Order for the Greater Sacramento Region, however, has been lifted with a current ICU availability of 9.4 percent and climbing while the ICU availability for the Northern California Region has dropped to 17.6 percent and is on the verge of triggering a Regional Order.