Mortgage Market Survey

The average rate for a benchmark 30-year mortgage has dropped to 3.54 percent, the lowest rate in three years and 43 basis points below the 3.97 percent rate in place prior to the Fed’s first rate hike in December.

The current rate is 46 basis points below the 4.00 percent average rate recorded at the same time last year. And while good news for those in the market for a mortgage, keep in mind that the drop in rates has been driven by disappointing economic indicators, such as employment, which has led the Fed to abandon plans for three more rate hikes by the end of the year.

And in fact, the probability of the Fed instituting a second rate hike by the end of the year has dropped to 43 percent, down from 61 percent last week and 81 percent three weeks ago.

Comments from Plugged-In Readers

  1. Posted by soccermom

    Bank of England just sold 50 year notes at 2.57%.
    10 Year Japanese Bonds at -.21%

    We could easily see 30 year rates with a 2 handle, and commensurate cap compression. Not guaranteed, of course, but totally plausible in the current monetary environment. *Dogwhistle for my zerohedge friends(!!!)

    • Posted by Sabbie

      How bout that German 10 year?

    • Posted by two beers

      soccermom- All ZIRP critics aren’t right-wing, racist, gummint-hating, gun-totin’, gold-bug preppers. Lumping all ZIRP critics into one bag is the ol’ guilt by association, an elementary logical fallacy.

  2. Posted by anon

    Negative rates on government bonds, the ECB dipping it’s toe into doing QE on junk bonds.

    Crazy times. Makes you wonder how they plan to unwind all of this.

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