A Modern Day Price Cut For A Modern Home: 313 Duncan Reduced

This will sell well north fo 2M IMO, even as it is sans views. But they have got a LOT of funk and personal design taste going on. When you walk in the door, immediately to your right there’s a tier, an entire living room, but not a living room … just a weird space. And it has a gap right at the door. Perfect for a child to fall into. Bedrooms are smallish. They are not all on the same floor. It’s a cool house, but you need to be vanilla when you go spec.

Yeah, they were probably off by about 5K per month. A similar place featured on here went for 11.5 per mo. You know and care a lot about Noe Valley, right LMRIM? That’s why you’re posting about it this morning, because it is important to you in some way?

A similar place featured on here went for 11.5 per mo.
Really? Which one? (You know I’m very interested in rent ratios, as they are a large component of any fair value analysis.) I’l save you the time in replying, fluj. I already know your respose: “It’s a secret“.
Another NV house featured on SS, 4545 25th, had a wishing price of $2.7M and, failing to sell, is still seeking $8.5K/mo in rent:
http://www.sothebyshomes.com/norcal/rental/0084129
That puts that one at a wishing price to wishing rent/mo ratio of ~320, and that house actually sold for $2.7M a year ago (we have no anchor for selling price with 313 Duncan, because it’s never sold in its current iteration).
I’d guess your current estimate of $10K/mo rent for 313 Duncan is way too high. Maybe $8K – I’m not a real expert on the area, although of course I knew enough to know that $15K/mo was a pipe dream.

“Somebody just had $2.1M for Clipper street.”
Bad example, Sparky: even that one dropped half a mil before someone bought it.

tipster,
So a place in contract for $2.1M is a bad example of no one having $2M to spend? How so.

I think your inflating the quality of this place; just because it’s a Dwell knockoff doesn’t mean it’s great. The materials choices are good but not great (oak floors, slate, marble, Marvin windows); and why would anyone put marble in the Kitchen?. Hard to believe this place was architect driven given it’s bizarre layout choices.

I looked at the pictures, where is this “gap at the door, perfect for a child to fall into?” I was hoping to get a glimpse of this cavernous abyss waiting to devour an unknown child, but alas, I see and inside that looks pretty cool. Is this “gap” visible on any pics?
Oh, and I think it’s over priced.

I also remember somebody playing cagey about the layout when it first came on the market, implying that they had someone interested. Guess that one didn’t work out.

funky layout?
I went to see this place and found: 3-bedrooms on the same floor, each with their own bathroom en-suite. There’s a split level with a double-height space, a glass ceiling/floor and daylight coming in everywhere. Sounds awful (drip,drip)!
To Mr. vanilla: This ain’t Kansas anymore!

Wow, another 6% cut after just one week at the already 7% reduced price. Talk about signalling a weak hand (and ZERO real interest in the property) to the marketplace!
Just based on those dynamics, I’d have to guess that more cuts are necessary. 6% is just not enough, now that smart buyers can smell the blood in the water. But, I’ve been wrong before, and you just need one buyer to fall in love I guess (although you have to think that after 113DOM, that “impulse” buyer doesn’t exist at these prices…).

Duncan just fell out of contract…BOM….

Funny, looks like 4251-4253 23rd St went contingent (Act. Cont.); let’s see how that one plays out…

“Price has been cut to $1.695M per Vangaurds ad in Real Estate Times this week ”
Website and MLS still say 2.495M.

It will be interesting to see what’s the rental market in this segment.

SFS – in my (limited) experience at looking at nice, pricey rental SFRs, I’d say that the bulk of the demand comes from three sources:
1) recently relocated executives who have their companies pick up the tab while they are looking to buy a place;
2) recently relocated executives who have their companies pick up the tab and who only expect to be in SF for a short time (1-2 years); and
3) well-heeled families who are extensively renovating their primary residence and need a year or so in an alternate home.
With corporate money more scarce, and HELOC money tougher to come by, I’d say these sources are drying up these days. There is not much “natural” demand from families who are willing to shell out $8K+ on rent, even if they can afford it no problem. If you’ve got the cash to spend $8K/mo, you probably own something or your living arrangements are just not that important to you in the overall scheme of things.
All that being said, if these specuvestors of $7-10MM properties in Tiburon get real and accept rents under $10K/mo, we might be tempted to live like kings too (they are all for sale forever, have been vacant for 6+ months, and are all within a stone’s throw from each other):
http://sfbay.craigslist.org/nby/apa/1066202245.html
http://sfbay.craigslist.org/nby/apa/1066201467.html
http://sfbay.craigslist.org/nby/apa/1066200466.html
🙂

Still Active on the MLS, from the listing:
“Also for rent $8500 main house, $2500 cottage.”

Speaking about rentals, I know Tiburon isn’t Noe Valley (the houses here generally cost more apples to apples), but this wishing $8K/mo rental caught my eye for this language:
“Premier luxury property available as rental for first time. Also includes free use of Porsche Cabriolet. Very high value home. Fully furnished turnkey property. Custom woodworking throughout. Incredible views…. Exquisite artwork. Heated swimming pool. Heated marble floors in master bathroom and bathroom upstairs. Gourmet kitchen. Owner pays for housekeeping, yard maintenance, pool cleaning, internet, and phone line (excluding international/900).” Emphasis added.
http://sfbay.craigslist.org/nby/apa/1080987364.html
That house would cost a fair bit more than 313 Duncan if one were to purchase it, like more than $1M more. It’s been for rent for a few months, notwithstanding the free Porsche usage.
Unlike what they keep saying on that “other site”, it’s a good time to be a buyer renter.

LMRiM – I think that the [strike] tag gets filtered out of comments. [b], [a href…], and [i] seem to get passed through OK.
Editor : please consider removing [strike] from the filter list so we don’t have to result to nerdy^H^H^H^H^H alternative methods to render strikethrough.

It’s still in escrow, I believe.

hahhaha. yeah, or it might be sold and the realtor immediately went on vacation. the admin assistant in that brokerage usually updates the mls, but she got sick. honestly it could be a dozen things.

Yeah, I am pretty sure this was bought by the twitter founder, wasn’t it?
[Editor’s Note: While A Bird Tweets, A Shark Sings.]