CFAH

Originally we wrote, “Nothing new, but a good reminder from The Wall Street Journal”. And then we re-read the last sentence of the third paragraph:

“In the hot housing market of recent years, many households took advantage of “affordability” mortgage loans — heavily promoted by lenders — that hold down payments for an initial period. Now the initial periods are coming to an end on many of these loans, leaving borrowers to face resets of their interest rates that can cause monthly payments to shoot up between 10% and 50%.
More than $2 trillion of U.S. mortgage debt, or about a quarter of all mortgage loans outstanding, comes up for interest-rate resets in 2006 and 2007, estimates Moody’s Economy.com, a research firm in West Chester, Pa.
Most borrowers will be able to cope with the coming wave of resets, in some cases by refinancing with new loans, lenders and mortgage industry analysts say. But some borrowers will have trouble meeting the higher payments and may be forced to sell their homes or could lose their homes to foreclosures. A recent study by First American Real Estate Solutions, a unit of title insurer First American Corp., projects that about one in eight households with adjustable-rate mortgages that originated in 2004 and 2005 will default on those loans.”

Projecting a default rate of 12.5% for adjustable-rate mortgages that originated in 2004 and 2005? And the majority of new Bay Area mortgages have been adjustable-rate over the past couple of years? This ought to be interesting.
Millions Are Facing Squeeze On Monthly House Payments [RealEstateJournal]
An ARM (And Quite Possibly A Leg) [SocketSite]

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