With a total of 443,435 ballots having been tallied since the polls closed on November 3, the total voter “turnout” in San Francisco just hit 85.10%, as mapped above, by precinct, by Election Maps SF. And in the absolute, that’s the most votes ever cast in San Francisco, surpassing the 414,528 ballots cast in November 2016 with a turnout of 80.71%.
With an estimated 4,500 ballots left to be processed as of this morning, which includes around 2,000 provisional ballots, 500 conditional voter registration ballots, and 2,000 vote-by-mail ballots, the final turnout for this past election could hit 85.96%.
And while a relative turnout of 85.96% in San Francisco would be well above the long-term average of 54.34%, going back to 1899, this past election’s turnout won’t surpass the record relative turnout of 86.82% set in 1944, when a total of 352,409 votes were cast, and will likely just miss the relative turnout of 86.06% in 1960 when 348,290 votes were cast.
UPDATE (11/11): Accounting for a number of late arriving, but legal, ballots from voters in the military or living overseas, the turnout in San Francisco has inched up to 86.07 percent, representing the second highest turnout, on a percentage basis, on record. And with an estimated 500 ballots left to be tallied, the final turnout could inch up to 86.16 percent with a total of 448,985 ballots cast (but no higher).